Match Info

SB League - Round 9

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Istituto Elvetico (Lugano)


	Lugano Tigers		Starwings Basket Regio Basel

	1	2
	3.05	1.32
	3.21	1.29
	1.54	2.19	Watch
	3.09	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (1.54)	1.53 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano Tigers
36%

Starwings Basket Regio Basel
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano Tigers's form might have worsened.

Starwings Basket Regio Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Starwings Basket Regio Basel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano Tigers than the current prediction. (+24.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugano Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Starwings Basket Regio Basel than the current prediction. (-24.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Starwings Basket Regio Basel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lugano Tigers - Starwings Basket Regio Basel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3, 1st Half - Regio Basel (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Starwings Basket Regio Basel will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Starwings Basket Regio Basel will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Regio Basel (votes: 14 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Broggi A.	38. Haile Y.
7. Donnelly A.	0. McManus J.
24. Moses T.	24. Roman D.
0. Sassella O.	55. Walters M.
3. Tanackovic I.	19. Weibbel Z.
Substitutes
13. Bagnoli A. V.	20. Abrham A.
18. Bernaschina M.	11. Domingos J.
33. Bracelli A. (C)	4. Fasnacht D. (C)
23. Mete M.	33. Meyer R.
8. Montanari A.	23. Okoyeze M.
4. Togni S.
Coaches
. Montini W.	. Donati P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano Tigers won 4.

Recent form of Lugano Tigers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Regio Basel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Regio Basel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lugano Tigers will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano Tigers won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1710:1594. (average 85.5:79.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lugano Tigers won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1015:878. (average 92.3:79.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lugano Tigers
Swiss SB League Basketball
04.11.25	Lausanne - Lugano Tigers	99:87 ✺
01.11.25	Lugano Tigers - Fribourg Olympic	76:106 ✺
25.10.25	Monthey - Lugano Tigers	89:82 ✺
19.10.25	Lugano Tigers - SAM Massagno	108:86 ✺
11.10.25	BBC Nyon - Lugano Tigers	101:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWL
- Starwings Basket Regio Basel
Swiss SB League Basketball
08.11.25	Starwings Basket Regio Basel - Monthey	80:76 ✺
05.11.25	SAM Massagno - Starwings Basket Regio Basel	101:98 ✺
31.10.25	Starwings Basket Regio Basel - Lausanne	76:75 ✺
25.10.25	Union Neuchatel - Starwings Basket Regio Basel	75:86 ✺
19.10.25	Starwings Basket Regio Basel - BBC Nyon	86:79 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss SB League Basketball
25.03.25	Lugano Tigers - Starwings Basket Regio Basel	87:78
07.12.24	Lugano Tigers - Starwings Basket Regio Basel	95:91 OT
29.09.24	Starwings Basket Regio Basel - Lugano Tigers	68:60
14.02.24	Lugano Tigers - Starwings Basket Regio Basel	121:92
03.12.23	Starwings Basket Regio Basel - Lugano Tigers	76:91
08.10.23	Lugano Tigers - Starwings Basket Regio Basel	90:71
08.03.23	Lugano Tigers - Starwings Basket Regio Basel	95:82

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