Match Info

PBA Commissioner's Cup

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Macau Black Bears		Blackwater Bossing

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Macau Black Bears
58.1%

Blackwater Bossing
41.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macau Black Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Blackwater Bossing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macau Black Bears than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackwater Bossing than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Macau Black Bears (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 114:109

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Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Blackwater Bossing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Macau Black Bears will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macau Black Bears
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
24.04.26	TNT Tropang 5G - Macau Black Bears	119:112 ✺
21.04.26	Macau Black Bears - Titan Ultra Giant Risers	119:107 ✺
14.04.26	NLEX Road Warriors - Macau Black Bears	106:97 ✺
11.04.26	Macau Black Bears - Meralco Bolts	110:115 ✺
31.03.26	San Miguel Beermen - Macau Black Bears	110:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL
- Blackwater Bossing Basketball
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
24.04.26	Blackwater Bossing - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	108:115 ✺
22.04.26	San Miguel Beermen - Blackwater Bossing	120:126 ✺
17.04.26	Phoenix Fuel Masters - Blackwater Bossing	125:108 ✺
14.04.26	Blackwater Bossing - TNT Tropang 5G	94:99 ✺
08.04.26	Blackwater Bossing - Titan Ultra Giant Risers	98:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLLL

Macau Black Bears - Blackwater Bossing