Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NBL1 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday

Location: AFF Stadium (Kabul)


	Mackay Meteors		Mandurah Magic

	1	2
	1.8	1.87	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.67	2.02
	1.96	1.85
	2.02	1.72	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.67	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.62)	1.91 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 192.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackay Meteors
51.3%

Mandurah Magic
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackay Meteors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mackay Meteors's form might have worsened.

Mandurah Magic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mandurah Magic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackay Meteors than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mackay Meteors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mandurah Magic than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mandurah Magic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mackay Meteors - Mandurah Magic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 97:97

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Doyle A.	14. Durr M.
0. Jamerson J.	8. Malie J.
4. Krause A.	6. Molnar J.
33. Maran C.	24. Murray J. (C)
3. Naar E. (C)	10. Pesava J.
Substitutes
5. Khalu M.	23. Bertram L.
2. Medhurst K.	52. Easley C.
15. Rasmussen B.	13. Mcilvinney J.
13. Sager K.	9. Miegel Ch.
	11. Riegert M.

Preview

Mackay in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Mandurah is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mandurah could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mackay have a series of home games.

Mackay will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackay Meteors
Australian NBL1 North
03.08.24	Mackay Meteors - Brisbane Capitals	102:80 ✺
02.08.24	Mackay Meteors - Brisbane Capitals	91:79 ✺
27.07.24	Mackay Meteors - Southern Districts Spartans	100:90 ✺
13.07.24	Mackay Meteors - Southern Districts Spartans	112:85 ✺
05.07.24	Mackay Meteors - Cairns Marlins	129:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW
- Mandurah Magic
Australian NBL1 West
10.08.24	Willetton Tigers - Mandurah Magic	89:91 ✺
04.08.24	Joondalup Wolves - Mandurah Magic	88:91 OT ✺
02.08.24	Mandurah Magic - Goldfields Giants	110:93 ✺
27.07.24	Geraldton Buccaneers - Mandurah Magic	106:100 ✺
19.07.24	Mandurah Magic - Willetton Tigers	110:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLW

Mackay Meteors - Mandurah Magic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide