Match Info

LFB Women - Round 9

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Clube Amigos do Basquete (Funchal)


	Madeira		Sanjoanense

	1	2
	1.58	2.15
	1.58	2.16
	1.61	2.13	Watch
	1.58	2.13
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)	2.16 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madeira
57.7%

Sanjoanense
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madeira's performance.

Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sanjoanense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Madeira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sanjoanense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Madeira - Sanjoanense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Burke M.	8. Anacleto C. (C)
24. Joaquim H.	13. Bimpa S.
20. Langan T. R.	21. Ju Souza
5. Lopes M.	22. Miller E.
11. Ougrinov E.	30. Petrus E.
Substitutes
9. Andrade G.	6. Arieiro J.
8. Caldeira C. (C)	9. Costa M.
22. Ferreira I.	5. Gloria M.
55. Goncalves C.	10. Leitao M.
14. Luisa R.	11. Ressurreicao B.
10. Pires C.
13. Serrao I.
Coaches
. Silva F.	. Peres I.

Preview

Madeira has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sanjoanense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Madeira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Madeira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 123:120. (average 61.5:60).

Including home match between the teams, Madeira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 59:49.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CAB Madeira Women
Portuguese LFB
30.11.25	Coimbrões - Madeira	85:79 ✺
23.11.25	Madeira - Barcelos	72:77 ✺
08.11.25	Galitos - Madeira	83:63 ✺
01.11.25	Madeira - União Sportiva	55:66 ✺
26.10.25	Benfica - Madeira	72:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AD Sanjoanense Basketball Women
Portuguese LFB
29.11.25	Sanjoanense - Quinta Dos Lombos	72:79 ✺
23.11.25	GDESSA Barreiro - Sanjoanense	82:64 ✺
08.11.25	Sanjoanense - Coimbrões	82:81 ✺
01.11.25	Sanjoanense - Barcelos	92:81 ✺
25.10.25	Galitos - Sanjoanense	82:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LFB
02.02.25	Madeira - Sanjoanense	59:49
01.11.24	Sanjoanense - Madeira	71:64

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