Match Info

LFB Women - Round 13

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Pavilhao Clube Amigos do Basquete (Funchal)


	Madeira		Sporting Lisbon

	1	2
	2.18	1.53
	2.31	1.5
	2.31	1.52	Watch
	2.39	1.51
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.84)	1.54 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madeira
40.6%

Sporting Lisbon
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Madeira's form might have worsened.

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Madeira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Madeira - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Madeira will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Madeira (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Bernardeco C.	14. Almeida C.
23. Burke M.	5. Costa S.
20. Langan T. R.	11. Huff E.
5. Lopes M. (C)	21. Rouse D.
14. Luisa R.	15. Serranho L.
Substitutes
9. Andrade G.	3. Carvalho M.
22. Ferreira I.	8. Carvalho M.
55. Goncalves C.	13. Costa M.
11. Ougrinov E.	20. Ferreira E. (C)
10. Pires C.	26. Maria Carolina
13. Serrao I.	9. Martins C.
6. Viveiros A.	19. Urbano A.
Coaches
. Silva F.	. Vieira J.

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Madeira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 76:78.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	CAB Madeira W	1	1	0	81:71	2
10	Sporting CP W	1	0	1	63:75	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CAB Madeira Women
Portuguese LFB
14.02.26	Madeira - Coimbrões	72:67 ✺
08.02.26	Barcelos - Madeira	68:63 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball Women
01.02.26	Braga - Madeira	49:71 ✺
Portuguese LFB
31.01.26	Madeira - Galitos	60:61 ✺
24.01.26	União Sportiva - Madeira	87:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL
- Sporting Lisbon Basketball Women
Portuguese LFB
15.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - Galitos	74:66 ✺
08.02.26	União Sportiva - Sporting Lisbon	73:75 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball Women
01.02.26	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	81:50 ✺
Portuguese LFB
30.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	66:85 ✺
25.01.26	Esgueira - Sporting Lisbon	82:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LFB
12.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Madeira	78:76

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