Match Info

PBA Governors' Cup

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Magnolia Hotshots		Phoenix Fuel Masters

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.50
	1.36	2.90
	1.44	2.46
	1.46	2.57
	1.42	2.40
	1.48	2.55
	1.40	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.97)	2.61 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 190.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magnolia Hotshots
64.6%

Phoenix Fuel Masters
35.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magnolia Hotshots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magnolia Hotshots's performance.

Phoenix Fuel Masters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Phoenix Fuel Masters might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magnolia Hotshots than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Magnolia Hotshots that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Fuel Masters than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Phoenix Fuel Masters could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Magnolia Hotshots - Phoenix Fuel Masters Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Magnolia Hotshots will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Phoenix Fuel Masters will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Magnolia Hotshots (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5, OT - Magnolia Hotshots (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Magnolia Hotshots (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 98:93

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magnolia Hotshots won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Phoenix Fuel Masters may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Magnolia Hotshots could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Magnolia Hotshots won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1924:1777. (average 96.2:88.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Magnolia Hotshots won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 991:882. (average 99.1:88.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Magnolia Hotshots - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 45.13%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magnolia Hotshots
Philippines - Governors Cup
07.08.26	Magnolia Hotshots - Meralco Bolts	105:88 ✺
02.08.26	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - Magnolia Hotshots	73:88 ✺
31.07.26	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters - Magnolia Hotshots	98:97 ✺
24.07.26	Magnolia Hotshots - Meralco Bolts	112:98 ✺
17.07.26	Blackwater Bossing - Magnolia Hotshots	89:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWL
- Phoenix Fuel Masters
Philippines - Governors Cup
05.08.26	Blackwater Bossing - Phoenix Fuel Masters	106:100 ✺
28.07.26	Phoenix Fuel Masters - Blackwater Bossing	102:93 ✺
21.07.26	Phoenix Fuel Masters - Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	98:105 ✺
19.07.26	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - Phoenix Fuel Masters	78:81 ✺
15.07.26	Meralco Bolts - Phoenix Fuel Masters	97:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Philippines - Governors Cup
11.07.26	Phoenix Fuel Masters - Magnolia Hotshots	98:86
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
13.03.26	Magnolia Hotshots - Phoenix Fuel Masters	98:101
Philippines Cup
31.10.25	Phoenix Fuel Masters - Magnolia Hotshots	80:83
26.04.25	Magnolia Hotshots - Phoenix Fuel Masters	118:99
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
16.01.25	Phoenix Fuel Masters - Magnolia Hotshots	104:110
Philippines Cup
14.04.24	Phoenix Fuel Masters - Magnolia Hotshots	93:107
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
31.01.24	Magnolia Hotshots - Phoenix Fuel Masters	89:79

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