Match Info

PHILIPPINES: Commissioners Cup

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday


	Magnolia Hotshots		San Miguel Beermen

	1	2
			Watch
	2.08	1.65	Watch
			Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.19	1.65
	2.08	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.51)	1.66 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 194.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magnolia Hotshots
44.2%

San Miguel Beermen
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magnolia Hotshots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magnolia Hotshots's performance.

San Miguel Beermen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Miguel Beermen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magnolia Hotshots than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel Beermen than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Magnolia Hotshots - San Miguel Beermen Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Magnolia Hotshots will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). San Miguel Beermen will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:99

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Magnolia Hotshots won 2.

Recent matches Magnolia Hotshots is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Miguel Beermen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Magnolia Hotshots could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

San Miguel Beermen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Magnolia Hotshots won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 1845:1857 (average 92.3:92.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Magnolia Hotshots won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 1030:1045 (average 93.6:95).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magnolia Hotshots
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
10.01.25	Terrafirma Dyip - Magnolia Hotshots	84:89 ✺
25.12.24	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - Magnolia Hotshots	95:92 ✺
20.12.24	Magnolia Hotshots - NLEX Road Warriors	99:95 OT ✺
18.12.24	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters - Magnolia Hotshots	102:100 ✺
11.12.24	Magnolia Hotshots - TNT Tropang 5G	100:103 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLL
- San Miguel Beermen
EASL Basketball
08.01.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - San Miguel Beermen	94:63 ✺
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
05.01.25	San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	81:93 ✺
22.12.24	Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions - San Miguel Beermen	99:91 OT ✺
EASL Basketball
18.12.24	Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions - San Miguel Beermen	71:62 ✺
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
15.12.24	San Miguel Beermen - Blackwater Bossing	115:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Philippines Cup
26.04.24	Magnolia Hotshots - San Miguel Beermen	91:98
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
14.02.24	Magnolia Hotshots - San Miguel Beermen	102:104
11.02.24	San Miguel Beermen - Magnolia Hotshots	108:98
09.02.24	Magnolia Hotshots - San Miguel Beermen	96:85
07.02.24	San Miguel Beermen - Magnolia Hotshots	80:88
04.02.24	Magnolia Hotshots - San Miguel Beermen	85:109
02.02.24	San Miguel Beermen - Magnolia Hotshots	103:95

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