Match Info

Superettan

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Heleneholms Sporthall (Malmö)


	Malbas		AIK Basket

	1	2
	1.37	2.85
	1.28	3.15
	1.3	3.17	Watch
	1.29	3.25
	1.31	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)	3.11 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malbas
70.4%

AIK Basket
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malbas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malbas's performance.

AIK Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AIK Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malbas than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malbas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK Basket than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AIK Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Malbas - AIK Basket Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Malbas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5, OT - Malbas (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Malbas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Hagberg J.	22. Cestic D.
13. Hagberg K. (C)	1. Drammeh S.
6. Lindstedt V.	0. Myrthil D.
14. Mellquist A.	21. Toprak B.
1. Stefanovic O.	11. Welander O. (C)
Substitutes
19. Birgemo C.	15. Ehrnvall O.
0. Mattsson T.	5. Hussein A.
8. Pihlsgard V.	7. Lindby L.
10. Regner O.	19. Omicevic M.
77. Seehausen G.	10. Simsek I.
32. Sjoberg S.
15. Smedjeback S.
Coaches
. Kallman J.	. Blazevic M.

Preview

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Malbas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Malbas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malbas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 424:379. (average 84.8:75.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Malbas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 178:139. (average 89:69.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	AIK Basket	3	2	1	261:246	4
12	Malbas	2	0	2	155:172	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malbas
Swedish Superettan Basketball
15.02.26	Alvik - Malbas	73:86 ✺
14.02.26	Blackeberg - Malbas	68:109 ✺
08.02.26	Malbas - Blackeberg	103:62 ✺
01.02.26	Aros Basket - Malbas	78:88 ✺
31.01.26	Huddinge - Malbas	87:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW
- AIK Basket
Swedish Superettan Basketball
21.02.26	IK EOS Lund - AIK Basket	80:95 ✺
14.02.26	AIK Basket - Ockelbo	78:69 ✺
03.02.26	Blackeberg - AIK Basket	68:106 ✺
31.01.26	KFUM Fryshuset - AIK Basket	86:95 OT ✺
24.01.26	Aros Basket - AIK Basket	76:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan Basketball
18.01.26	AIK Basket - Malbas	61:84
23.03.25	AIK Basket - Malbas	90:78
02.02.25	Malbas - AIK Basket	116:78
06.04.24	AIK Basket - Malbas	89:84
03.12.23	Malbas - AIK Basket	62:61

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