Match Info

NBL1 East

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday


	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles		Newcastle Falcons

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.5
			Watch
	1.6	2.23
			Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.43	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.34)	2.45 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
61.8%

Newcastle Falcons
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manly Warringah Sea Eagles's form might have worsened.

Newcastle Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle Falcons's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manly Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manly Warringah Sea Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Falcons than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle Falcons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Falcons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:83

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Preview

Manly Warringah is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Newcastle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Manly Warringah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Manly Warringah is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manly Warringah won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 326:382. (average 65.2:76.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Manly Warringah won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 149:148. (average 74.5:74).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Basketball
Australian NBL1 East
21.06.25	Maitland Mustangs - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	92:90 ✺
14.06.25	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Canberra Gunners	90:102 ✺
01.06.25	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Illawarra Hawks 2	74:108 ✺
31.05.25	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Hills Hornets	80:82 ✺
24.05.25	Central Coast Crusaders - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	78:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Newcastle Falcons Basketball
Australian NBL1 East
21.06.25	Penrith Panthers - Newcastle Falcons	63:98 ✺
21.06.25	Norths Bears - Newcastle Falcons	102:70 ✺
31.05.25	Newcastle Falcons - Norths Bears	78:68 ✺
25.05.25	Inner West Bulls - Newcastle Falcons	69:93 ✺
24.05.25	Newcastle Falcons - Bankstown Bruins	94:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 East
22.06.24	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Falcons	87:75
11.05.24	Newcastle Falcons - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	68:66
18.03.23	Newcastle Falcons - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	77:41
25.06.22	Newcastle Falcons - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	89:70
29.05.22	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Falcons	62:73

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Falcons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide