Match Info

NBL1 South

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday


	Melbourne Tigers		Casey Cavaliers

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.24	3.45
	1.25	3.47
			Watch
	1.3	3.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.36)	3.36 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Tigers
72.5%

Casey Cavaliers
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Tigers's performance.

Casey Cavaliers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casey Cavaliers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Tigers than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casey Cavaliers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Melbourne Tigers - Casey Cavaliers Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Melbourne Tigers will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:81

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Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Casey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Melbourne Tigers is the team to beat.

We predict that Melbourne Tigers will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Tigers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 330:313. (average 82.5:78.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Tigers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 174:161. (average 87:80.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Tigers
Australian NBL1 South
11.07.25	Melbourne Tigers - Diamond Valley Eagles	87:77 ✺
08.07.25	Ringwood Hawks - Melbourne Tigers	93:82 ✺
05.07.25	Sandringham Sabres - Melbourne Tigers	92:71 ✺
29.06.25	Melbourne Tigers - Bendigo Braves	85:66 ✺
28.06.25	Melbourne Tigers - NW Tasmania Thunder	98:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWW
- Casey Cavaliers
Australian NBL1 South
12.07.25	Geelong United - Casey Cavaliers	71:77 ✺
11.07.25	Casey Cavaliers - Kilsyth Cobras	87:109 ✺
05.07.25	Dandenong Rangers - Casey Cavaliers	99:86 ✺
29.06.25	Casey Cavaliers - Eltham Wildcats	83:93 ✺
28.06.25	Bendigo Braves - Casey Cavaliers	77:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South
24.05.25	Casey Cavaliers - Melbourne Tigers	81:83 OT
13.07.24	Casey Cavaliers - Melbourne Tigers	71:73
06.06.24	Melbourne Tigers - Casey Cavaliers	84:82
09.07.23	Melbourne Tigers - Casey Cavaliers	90:79

Melbourne Tigers - Casey Cavaliers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide