Match Info
Primera FEB - Round 32Date: 26 April 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Spain | LaLiga+ |
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Melilla |
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Burgos |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 167.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Melilla 62.1% | Burgos 37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melilla's performance.Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burgos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melilla that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burgos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Melilla - Burgos Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Melilla will win (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:82 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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24. Caicedo M.
| 31. Brown-Ferguson J.
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4. Ceccardi S.
| 15. Czerapowicz C.
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9. Cruz-Uceda I.
| 5. Jackson M.
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10. Hoover N.
| 10. Parrado A.
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0. Johnson J.
| 8. Terins F.
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| Substitutes |
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7. Cordoba P.
| 60. Alonso A.
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22. Diaz Rodriguez C.
| 24. Huelves A.
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44. Garcia Sanchez J.
| 55. Jofresa G.
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12. Krutous P.
| 1. Nugu M.
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3. Mc Mullen N.
| 35. Seoane R.
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13. Rodriguez S.
| 13. Vila R.
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33. Stilma M.
| 25. Zidek J.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melilla won 3.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Melilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Melilla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.We predict that Melilla will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Melilla won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 637:677. (average 79.6:84.6).Including home matches between the teams, Melilla won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 229:224. (average 76.3:74.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 17 | Tizona Burgos | 2 | 0 | 2 | 163:195 | 2 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;