Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 11

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Palasport Taliercio (Mestre)


	Mestre		Fortitudo Bologna

	1	2
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.6	1.42
	2.63	1.48
	2.47	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.59)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mestre
35.9%

Fortitudo Bologna
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mestre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Fortitudo Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortitudo Bologna than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Mestre - Fortitudo Bologna Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mestre (votes: 1 - 50%). Fortitudo Bologna (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - Mestre (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mestre (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Fortitudo Bologna (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Alipiev I.	21. Fantinelli M.
2. Bechi C.	14. Guaiana V.
32. Bonacini F.	22. Mazzola V.
1. Curry K.	3. Sarto A.
4. Galmarini L.	9. Sorokas P.
Substitutes
45. Aromando S.	6. Anumba S.
21. Bizzotto P.	27. Barbieri M.
0. Giordano N.	7. Della Rosa G.
15. Kadjividi S.	77. Gamberini F.
24. Marella N.	33. Moretti S.
7. Porcu M.
25. Reggiani F.
Coaches
. Ferrari M.	. Caja A.

Preview

Mestre is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fortitudo Bologna is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fortitudo Bologna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fortitudo Bologna might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Mestre 1958
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
09.11.25	Pistoia Basket - Mestre	74:89 ✺
01.11.25	Mestre - Rieti	94:102 ✺
29.10.25	Forlì - Mestre	85:80 ✺
25.10.25	Mestre - Cividale	78:79 ✺
19.10.25	Basket Pesaro - Mestre	90:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLL
- Fortitudo Bologna
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
08.11.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Brindisi	77:66 ✺
02.11.25	Pistoia Basket - Fortitudo Bologna	76:81 ✺
28.10.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Basket Torino	85:60 ✺
25.10.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Verona	55:47 ✺
19.10.25	Juvi Cremona - Fortitudo Bologna	68:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL

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