Match Info
NBBDate: 23 December 2025, TuesdayLocation: Arena Minas Tenis Clube (Belo Horizonte)Referee: Goncalves Lopes C. (Bra)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
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Minas |
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Flamengo |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 161.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Minas 65.3% | Flamengo 34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Minas's performance.Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flamengo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minas than the current prediction. (-13.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flamengo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Minas - Flamengo Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Minas will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Flamengo will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minas: 15.4% – 84.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Minas (votes: 1 - 50%). Flamengo (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:82 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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9. Fuzaro D.
| 2. Cummings M.
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1. McCree E.
| 1. Deodato
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10. Rodriguez L.
| 18. Doria L.
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15. Silva W.
| 22. Johnson S.
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0. Williams J.
| 44. Negrete A.
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| Substitutes |
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20. Arengo J.
| 9. Baralle F. A.
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2. Fernando
| 6. Caua V.
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5. Fischer R.
| 7. Dos Santos J.
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55. Frazier T.
| 13. Emanuel Fernades
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24. Paranhos A.
| 92. Gueiros M.
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23. Rafael Rachel
| 23. Kayo Manfio
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27. Yuri E.
| 21. Wesley
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| Coaches |
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. Costa L.
| . Hernandez S.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minas won 4.Minas is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).Flamengo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minas won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1551:1580. (average 77.6:79).Including home matches between the teams, Minas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 807:816. (average 80.7:81.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;