Match Info

NBB

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos (Mogi das Cruzes)

Referee: Donizete Pinheiro R. (Bra)


	Mogi		Corinthians Paulista

	1	2
	1.63	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.15
	2.42	1.51	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.77)	2 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mogi
52.4%

Corinthians Paulista
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Corinthians Paulista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mogi than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Mogi - Corinthians Paulista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Andre D.	15. Clark E.
7. Barbosa A.	55. Elinho
14. Menca	17. Gabriel Novaes
13. Paulo	11. Raymundo K.
4. Ruivo F.	0. Thomas D.
Substitutes
0. Barry	3. Cardoso L.
5. Caldeira	23. Caue L.
6. Chagas V.	1. Faria T.
2. Gabriel	9. Jamelao
31. Maicon	14. Munford R.
28. Pacheco R.	2. Nascimento A.
32. Vitoriano	8. Pereira K.
Coaches
. Penna F.	. Leite J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mogi won 1.

Mogi has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Corinthians Paulista has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Corinthians Paulista may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mogi won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 932:983. (average 77.7:81.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mogi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 472:470. (average 78.7:78.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mogi das Cruzes Basquete
Brazilian NBB
21.11.25	Mogi - União Corinthians	101:71 ✺
17.11.25	Mogi - Pato	86:58 ✺
14.11.25	Mogi - Rio Claro	95:55 ✺
09.11.25	Basquete Cearense - Mogi	76:80 ✺
06.11.25	Unifacisa - Mogi	63:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW
- Corinthians Paulista Basketball
Brazilian NBB
19.11.25	Corinthians Paulista - Pato	87:68 ✺
Basketball South American League
16.11.25	Defensor Sporting - Corinthians Paulista	75:66 ✺
15.11.25	Deportivo San José - Corinthians Paulista	80:85 ✺
14.11.25	Corinthians Paulista - Regatas Corrientes	66:72 ✺
Brazilian NBB
11.11.25	Corinthians Paulista - São José dos Campos	78:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
15.03.25	Corinthians Paulista - Mogi	93:73
17.12.24	Mogi - Corinthians Paulista	70:72
18.01.24	Mogi - Corinthians Paulista	70:77
05.12.23	Corinthians Paulista - Mogi	73:76
25.01.22	Corinthians Paulista - Mogi	98:75
30.10.21	Mogi - Corinthians Paulista	70:69
06.02.21	Mogi - Corinthians Paulista	75:77

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