Match Info

NBB

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos (Mogi das Cruzes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zivieri N. (Bra)


	Mogi		Paulistano

	1	2
	1.53	2.4
	1.6	2.1
	1.62	2.32
	1.63	2.17	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.64	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)	2.22 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mogi
57.9%

Paulistano
42.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Paulistano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mogi than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulistano than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mogi - Paulistano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mogi will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mogi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Andre D.	33. Braga G.
11. Hinkle C.	1. da Silva Brandao V.
12. Johnson D.	44. Hunter K.
13. Paulo	10. Inacio L.
4. Ruivo F.	23. Siewert L.
Substitutes
6. Chagas V.	41. Demetrio L.
2. Gabriel	4. Guilherme L.
30. Gabriel Bavoso	11. Macedo
31. Maicon	35. Neto S.
14. Menca	14. Pereira J.
28. Pacheco R.	8. Seixas H.
32. Vitoriano	17. Tovar E.
Coaches
. Penna F.	. Ferracciu D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mogi won 2.

Mogi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Paulistano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Paulistano has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mogi won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1524:1601. (average 76.2:80.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mogi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 681:717. (average 75.7:79.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
3	Mogi	4	3	1	315:294	0.750
13	Paulistano	2	1	1	153:165	0.500

Outrights of Brazilian NBB for now

Mogi: 26.65% Paulistano: 1.47%

Last Results with these Odds

Paulistano - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.72%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mogi das Cruzes Basquete
Brazilian NBB
10.04.26	União Corinthians - Mogi	82:87 ✺
03.04.26	Mogi - Franca	75:79 ✺
01.04.26	Mogi - Bauru	87:79 OT ✺
23.03.26	Brasília Basquete - Mogi	72:69 OT ✺
20.03.26	Rio Claro - Mogi	77:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLW
- Paulistano Basketball
Brazilian NBB
09.04.26	Corinthians Paulista - Paulistano	80:84 ✺
03.04.26	Botafogo - Paulistano	72:86 ✺
01.04.26	Vasco da Gama - Paulistano	69:96 ✺
23.03.26	Flamengo - Paulistano	84:79 ✺
19.03.26	Paulistano - Basquete Cearense	91:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
27.12.25	Paulistano - Mogi	81:66
10.01.25	Paulistano - Mogi	76:63
12.10.24	Mogi - Paulistano	72:67
09.04.24	Mogi - Paulistano	60:59
27.12.23	Paulistano - Mogi	92:78
28.01.22	Paulistano - Mogi	69:62
28.10.21	Mogi - Paulistano	77:72

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