Match Info

NBB

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sao Januario Gymnasium (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Boni de Sa J. P. (Bra)


	Vasco da Gama		Paulistano

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.15	1.26	Watch
	3.78	1.3
	3.24	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.15	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.02)	1.31 (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
28.4%

Paulistano
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Paulistano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulistano than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Vasco da Gama - Paulistano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Basilio G.	33. Braga G.
24. Conceicao S.	1. da Silva Brandao V.
19. Magna G.	44. Hunter K.
11. Nunes P.	10. Inacio L.
4. Vernizz A.	23. Siewert L.
Substitutes
3. Bearden L.	41. Demetrio L.
27. Elias Oliveira	4. Guilherme L.
7. Fortunato J.	11. Macedo
23. Honorato I.	35. Neto S.
30. Martins I.	14. Pereira J.
12. Mathias T.	8. Seixas H.
2. Morgan L.	17. Tovar E.
Coaches
. dos Santos C.	. Ferracciu D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 4.

Vasco is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Paulistano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Paulistano has had a series of home games.

In this match, Paulistano is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 842:946. (average 70.2:78.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 411:447. (average 68.5:74.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama Basketball
Brazilian NBB
21.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Pinheiros	63:81 ✺
14.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Osasco	88:86 ✺
11.03.26	Caxias do Sul - Vasco da Gama	71:69 ✺
09.03.26	União Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	77:66 ✺
06.03.26	Rio Claro - Vasco da Gama	77:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Paulistano Basketball
Brazilian NBB
23.03.26	Flamengo - Paulistano	84:79 ✺
19.03.26	Paulistano - Basquete Cearense	91:77 ✺
17.03.26	Paulistano - Rio Claro	100:87 ✺
10.03.26	Paulistano - Cruzeiro	88:89 ✺
06.03.26	Paulistano - Unifacisa	109:102 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
11.12.25	Paulistano - Vasco da Gama	65:69
01.04.25	Vasco da Gama - Paulistano	78:66
04.12.24	Paulistano - Vasco da Gama	70:76
28.03.24	Vasco da Gama - Paulistano	73:70
Brazilian Super 8 Basketball
28.01.24	Vasco da Gama - Paulistano	62:76
Brazilian NBB
11.12.23	Paulistano - Vasco da Gama	70:76
28.02.19	Paulistano - Vasco da Gama	109:65

Vasco da Gama - Paulistano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide