Match Info

Serie A2 Women - Gr. B - Play Out - Semi-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Palazzetto Dello Sport Einaudi (Moncalieri)


	Moncalieri		Cagliari

	1	2
	1.6	2.1
	1.6	2.24
	1.49	2.39	Watch
	1.65	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.48)	2.21 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 123.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncalieri
58.2%

Cagliari
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncalieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncalieri than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Moncalieri - Cagliari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 63:61

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bifano I.	8. Caldaro E. (C)
11. Gesuele F.	15. Gagliano D.
12. Grosso B.	11. Granzotto M.
8. Pellegrini M.	10. Reggiani E.
19. Salvini C. (C)	22. Salvemme V.
Substitutes
9. Corgnati M.	5. Bovenzi G.
6. Lo Re C.	17. Cassai E.
22. Obaseki E.	34. Corso G.
10. Olajide B.	00. Nasraoui M.
14. Pieroni A.	13. Peric T.
	3. Piedel K.
Coaches
. Lanzano F.	. Xaxa F.

Preview

First leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cagliari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moncalieri might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Moncalieri will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Moncalieri
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
03.04.26	Moncalieri - Torino	68:62 ✺
28.03.26	Salerno - Moncalieri	71:78 ✺
22.03.26	Moncalieri - San Giovanni Valdarno	72:75 ✺
17.03.26	Sanga Milano - Moncalieri	72:61 ✺
08.03.26	Moncalieri - Milano Basket Stars	89:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW
- CUS Cagliari
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
29.03.26	Golfobasket - Cagliari	64:45 ✺
21.03.26	Cagliari - Rovigo	57:53 ✺
15.03.26	Cagliari - BC Bolzano	51:48 OT ✺
07.03.26	Alpo Villafranca - Cagliari	69:54 ✺
01.03.26	Cagliari - Faenza	49:50 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLL

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