What is the expert prediction for Mornar Bar vs Cibona?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Mornar Bar vs Cibona. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Mornar Bar vs Cibona Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Monday, November 04, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: ABA League - Round 7

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday

Location: Topolica Sport Hall (Bar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	Mornar Bar		Cibona

	1	2
	1.62	2.1
	1.6	2.22	Watch
	1.63	2.29
	1.58	2.34	Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.6	2.24
	1.6	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.8)	2.24 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mornar Bar
58.4%

Cibona
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mornar Bar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mornar Bar's performance.

Cibona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cibona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mornar Bar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cibona than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cibona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mornar Bar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Cibona will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Buljevic L.	14. Jok K. D.
5. Dokovic I.	13. Majcunic I.
10. Jenkins B.	2. Rocak T.
7. Runjic L.	32. Rogic R.
14. Smith J.	1. Vukovic D.
Substitutes
2. Allen S.	21. Bart V.
15. Bediako J.	8. Bundovic F.
33. Bulatovic S.	24. Katanovic B.
11. Carter C.	23. Pavkovic J.
6. Cubic A.	6. Perasovic I.
26. Komnenovic V.	7. Skoric L.
88. Radetic L.
Coaches
. Pavicevic M.	. Krasic B.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ ABA League 2 and 15 in the zone ABA League (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 3.

Mornar Bar has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cibona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mornar Bar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mornar Bar will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1522:1442 (average 84.6:80.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Mornar Bar won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 780:703 (average 86.7:78.1).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Mornar Bar
Adriatic League
27.10.24	Spartak Subotica - Mornar Bar	85:64 ✺
19.10.24	Mornar Bar - Borac Čačak	90:98 OT ✺
13.10.24	Mega Basket - Mornar Bar	84:59 ✺
05.10.24	Mornar Bar - Cedevita Olimpija	82:92 ✺
28.09.24	Crvena Zvezda - Mornar Bar	91:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- KK Cibona
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
02.11.24	Zabok - Cibona	80:79 ✺
30.10.24	Cibona - Alkar	84:75 ✺
Adriatic League
26.10.24	Cibona - Dubai	74:102 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
24.10.24	KK Zadar - Cibona	78:68 ✺
20.10.24	Cibona - Dinamo Zagreb	101:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
05.02.24	Mornar Bar - Cibona	88:85
04.11.23	Cibona - Mornar Bar	73:72
20.01.23	Mornar Bar - Cibona	83:81
14.10.22	Cibona - Mornar Bar	91:88
03.01.22	Cibona - Mornar Bar	65:82
24.09.21	Mornar Bar - Cibona	77:87
16.01.21	Cibona - Mornar Bar	78:92