Match Info

ABA League - Round 25

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Topolica Sport Hall (Bar)

Referee: Milojevic A. (Mkd)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	Mornar Bar		Krka

	1	2
	3	1.33
	3.15	1.31	Watch
	2.99	1.35	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.08	1.34
	3.15	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (3.03)	1.33 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mornar Bar
30.3%

Krka
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mornar Bar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Krka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krka than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Mornar Bar - Krka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Rogic R.	11. Persons T.
3. Thomasson N.	13. Jurkovic R.
7. Runjic L.	20. Cerkvenik M.
23. Pember D.	24. Smrekar Z.
8. Buljevic L.	21. Bursac A.
Substitutes
33. Bulatovic S.	7. Bacvic N.
26. Komnenovic V.	55. Cebasek J.
1. Kovacevic N.	47. Klobucar J.
44. Pekovic N.	0. Robinson K.
88. Radetic L.	22. Skeens B.
14. Smith J.
0. Spicanovic M.
Coaches
. Pavicevic M.	. Jakara D.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ ABA League 2 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 2.

Mornar Bar has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Krka is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Krka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Krka is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1044:987 (average 80.3:75.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Mornar Bar won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 494:432 (average 82.3:72).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Mornar Bar
Adriatic League
23.03.25	Partizan Belgrade - Mornar Bar	89:84 ✺
15.03.25	Mornar Bar - Studentski Centar	74:94 ✺
07.03.25	Cibona - Mornar Bar	82:64 ✺
28.02.25	Mornar Bar - Spartak Subotica	66:76 ✺
Montenegrin Cup Basketball
13.02.25	KK Budućnost - Mornar Bar	86:78
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- KK Krka
Slovenian Liga Basketball
25.03.25	Krka - Ilirija	56:66 ✺
Adriatic League
22.03.25	Krka - Dubai	78:93 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
19.03.25	Podcetrtek - Krka	87:83 ✺
Adriatic League
16.03.25	FMP Beograd - Krka	98:89 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
12.03.25	Krka - Zlatorog Laško	78:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
29.11.24	Krka - Mornar Bar	103:90
27.01.24	Krka - Mornar Bar	79:72
30.10.23	Mornar Bar - Krka	86:83
16.04.22	Mornar Bar - Krka	74:65
02.10.21	Krka - Mornar Bar	89:80
26.02.21	Mornar Bar - Krka	80:61
07.11.20	Krka - Mornar Bar	74:84

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