Match Info
NBL1 SouthDate: 23 May 2026, Saturday ๐ Finished Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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 Australia | 20:30 | Nbl+ |
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Mount Gambier Pioneers |
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Casey Cavaliers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.65 |
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2.1 |
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 |
1.8 |
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1.8 |
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 |
1.92 |
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1.83 |
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 |
1.76 |
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1.93 |
Watch |
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1.9 |
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1.9 |
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 |
1.9 |
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1.78 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(2.37) |
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1.89 ↑
(1.48) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 191.75
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mount Gambier Pioneers
50.9% | Casey Cavaliers
49.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Mount Gambier Pioneers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mount Gambier Pioneers's performance.Casey Cavaliers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casey Cavaliers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mount Gambier Pioneers than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mount Gambier Pioneers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casey Cavaliers than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casey Cavaliers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Mount Gambier Pioneers - Casey Cavaliers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 97:95 
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Preview
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Mount Gambier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Mount Gambier has had a series of away games. Casey will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mount Gambier won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 469:402. (average 93.8:80.4).Including home matches between the teams, Mount Gambier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 177:161. (average 88.5:80.5).
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NBL1 South | | | 10.05.25 | Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers | 91:93 | | 04.04.25 | Mount Gambier Pioneers - Casey Cavaliers | 80:81 | | 19.05.24 | Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers | 70:82 | | 14.04.23 | Mount Gambier Pioneers - Casey Cavaliers | 97:80 | | 07.05.22 | Casey Cavaliers - Mount Gambier Pioneers | 80:117 |
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