Match Info

Date: 3 February 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Mykolaiv		Ternopil

	1	2
	1.62	2.1
	1.64	2.04
	1.71	2.06
	1.57	2.3
	1.72	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.75)	2.12 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mykolaiv
56.3%

Ternopil
43.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mykolaiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mykolaiv's performance.

Ternopil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ternopil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mykolaiv than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mykolaiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternopil than the current prediction. (+21.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ternopil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	0%	26.9%

Mykolaiv - Ternopil Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Mykolaiv will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Ternopil will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mykolaiv: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:79

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 9).

Mykolaiv is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ternopil-TNEU is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mykolaiv will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mykolaiv won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 359-454.

Including matches at home between the teams Mykolaiv won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 223-272.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MBC Mykolaiv
Ukrainian FBU Super League
22.01.22	Mykolaiv - Dnipro	68:76 ✺
20.01.22	Mykolaiv - Kharkivski Sokoly	71:63 ✺
16.01.22	Zaporizhya - Mykolaiv	73:72 ✺
14.01.22	Prometey - Mykolaiv	103:84 ✺
09.01.22	Kyiv-Basket - Mykolaiv	96:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLL
- BC Ternopil
Ukrainian FBU Super League
23.01.22	Budivelnyk - Ternopil	89:80 ✺
21.01.22	Cherkaski Mavpy - Ternopil	65:76 ✺
15.01.22	Ternopil - Odesa	78:73 ✺
13.01.22	Ternopil - Khimik	89:73 ✺
Ukrainian Cup Basketball
23.12.21	Ternopil - Mykolaiv	97:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Cup Basketball
23.12.21	Ternopil - Mykolaiv	97:75
Ukrainian FBU Super League
19.11.21	Ternopil - Mykolaiv	85:61
03.10.21	Mykolaiv - Ternopil	82:87
26.02.21	Mykolaiv - Ternopil	73:79
16.10.20	Mykolaiv - Ternopil	68:106

Mykolaiv - Ternopil