Match Info

NBL1 South

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday


	NW Tasmania Thunder		Dandenong Rangers

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.2	1.57
	2.21	1.61
	2.82	1.36	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.22	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.88)	1.61 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NW Tasmania Thunder
41.8%

Dandenong Rangers
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NW Tasmania Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NW Tasmania Thunder's form might have worsened.

Dandenong Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dandenong Rangers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NW Tasmania Thunder than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NW Tasmania Thunder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong Rangers than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dandenong Rangers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

NW Tasmania Thunder - Dandenong Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:94

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NW Tasmania won 3.

NW Tasmania has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dandenong is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dandenong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, NW Tasmania has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, NW Tasmania won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1140:1177. (average 81.4:84.1).

Including home matches between the teams, NW Tasmania won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 480:506. (average 80:84.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NW Tasmania Thunder
Australian NBL1 South
13.07.25	Eltham Wildcats - NW Tasmania Thunder	115:75 ✺
12.07.25	Sandringham Sabres - NW Tasmania Thunder	100:98 ✺
29.06.25	Diamond Valley Eagles - NW Tasmania Thunder	85:77 ✺
28.06.25	Melbourne Tigers - NW Tasmania Thunder	98:83 ✺
21.06.25	NW Tasmania Thunder - Knox Raiders	96:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLLLW
- Dandenong Rangers
Australian NBL1 South
18.07.25	Hobart Chargers - Dandenong Rangers	92:99 ✺
12.07.25	Ballarat Miners - Dandenong Rangers	93:73 ✺
11.07.25	Dandenong Rangers - Geelong United	106:84 ✺
05.07.25	Dandenong Rangers - Casey Cavaliers	99:86 ✺
29.06.25	Dandenong Rangers - Frankston Blues	104:103 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South
14.07.24	Dandenong Rangers - NW Tasmania Thunder	81:75
13.04.24	NW Tasmania Thunder - Dandenong Rangers	71:101
20.05.23	Dandenong Rangers - NW Tasmania Thunder	92:95
02.07.22	NW Tasmania Thunder - Dandenong Rangers	92:67
14.05.22	Dandenong Rangers - NW Tasmania Thunder	59:70
10.07.21	Dandenong Rangers - NW Tasmania Thunder	71:77
Australian NBL1
11.05.19	NW Tasmania Thunder - Dandenong Rangers	76:109

NW Tasmania Thunder - Dandenong Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide