Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NBL1 South

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	NW Tasmania Thunder		Melbourne Tigers

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.66	2.03
	1.77	2.06
	1.7	2.17
	1.73	2
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.66	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.68)	2.07 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NW Tasmania Thunder
55%

Melbourne Tigers
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NW Tasmania Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Melbourne Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NW Tasmania Thunder than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Tigers than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

NW Tasmania Thunder - Melbourne Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:81

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches NW Tasmania won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

NW Tasmania could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Melbourne Tigers have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches NW Tasmania won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 633-565.

Including matches at home between the teams NW Tasmania won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 253-258.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NW Tasmania Thunder
Australian NBL1 South
04.05.24	NW Tasmania Thunder - Frankston Blues	76:101 ✺
27.04.24	NW Tasmania Thunder - Casey Cavaliers	84:83 ✺
26.04.24	NW Tasmania Thunder - Ballarat Miners	98:95 ✺
21.04.24	Keilor Thunder - NW Tasmania Thunder	105:96 ✺
19.04.24	Mount Gambier Pioneers - NW Tasmania Thunder	91:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLL
- Melbourne Tigers
Australian NBL1 South
10.05.24	Hobart Chargers - Melbourne Tigers	81:63 ✺
04.05.24	Sandringham Sabres - Melbourne Tigers	88:68 ✺
27.04.24	Melbourne Tigers - Eltham Wildcats	89:81 ✺
21.04.24	Diamond Valley Eagles - Melbourne Tigers	79:89 ✺
20.04.24	Waverley Falcons - Melbourne Tigers	93:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South
29.04.23	NW Tasmania Thunder - Melbourne Tigers	69:84
19.06.22	Melbourne Tigers - NW Tasmania Thunder	69:76
11.07.21	Melbourne Tigers - NW Tasmania Thunder	96:100 OT (86:86)
Australian NBL1
28.06.19	NW Tasmania Thunder - Melbourne Tigers	90:82 OT (75:75)
Australian SEABL
08.07.18	Melbourne Tigers - NW Tasmania Thunder	77:97
16.06.18	NW Tasmania Thunder - Melbourne Tigers	94:92
13.05.17	Melbourne Tigers - NW Tasmania Thunder	65:107

NW Tasmania Thunder - Melbourne Tigers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide