Match Info

Champions League Americas

Date: 15 December 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio 8 de Junio (Paysandú)


	Nacional		Obras Sanitarias

	1	2
	1.38	2.85
	1.38	2.68	Watch
	1.41	2.7
	1.45	2.51	Watch
	1.43	2.62
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.48)	2.69 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
65.6%

Obras Sanitarias
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Obras Sanitarias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obras Sanitarias than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Obras Sanitarias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nacional - Obras Sanitarias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Feldeine J.	3. Barral P.
23. Oglivie E.	1. Corum A.
10. Parodi L.	12. Delia M.
21. Prieto P.	6. Mata M.
24. Zinaich C.	22. Sabin T.
Substitutes
33. Barrera B.	9. Bilbao J.
6. Bell E.	5. Brussino J.
8. Cabot M.	2. Inyaco F.
51. Espindola G.	26. Lopez J.
20. Gomez P.	28. Madrigal J.
3. Mendez A.	88. Respaud J.
31. Pena A.	8. Zezular F.
Coaches
. Ponce A.	. Fabbris G.

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Obras has had a series of away games.

Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo Basketball
Champions League Americas Basketball
13.12.25	Nacional - Flamengo	75:63 ✺
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
08.12.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional	82:69 ✺
03.12.25	Cordón - Nacional	90:109 ✺
20.11.25	Nacional - Unión Atlética	88:72 ✺
14.11.25	Malvín - Nacional	82:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWL
- Obras Sanitarias
Champions League Americas Basketball
14.12.25	Flamengo - Obras Sanitarias	84:80 ✺
Argentinian LNB
07.12.25	Obras Sanitarias - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	95:86 ✺
23.11.25	Instituto Córdoba - Obras Sanitarias	79:71 ✺
21.11.25	Independiente de Oliva - Obras Sanitarias	89:92 ✺
19.11.25	Atenas - Obras Sanitarias	74:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW

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