What is the expert prediction for Nacional vs San Lorenzo de Almagro?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Nacional vs San Lorenzo de Almagro. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Nacional vs San Lorenzo de Almagro Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, December 01, 2024)

Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: South American League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday


	Nacional		San Lorenzo de Almagro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.35	2.95
	1.28	3.57
	1.32	3.33	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.31	3.25
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)	3.18 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
70.6%

San Lorenzo de Almagro
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

San Lorenzo de Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Colmenares N.	3. Basualdo I.
51. Espindola G.	13. Cordoba G.
4. Feldeine J.	77. Grun F.
6. Sarni M.	16. Lugo S.
44. Suarez M.	4. Perez L.
Substitutes
33. Barrera B.	17. Alorda F.
3. Mendez A.	8. Latorre L.
14. Ottonello S.	6. Roca T.
5. Peacock A.	12. Rutenberg F.
21. Prieto P.	9. Valdivieso A.
18. Semiglia G.
24. Trelles M.
Coaches
. Ponce A.	. Costa L.

Preview

Nacional in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches San Lorenzo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Lorenzo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Nacional have a series of home games.

Recently San Lorenzo have a series of guest games.

In this match Nacional is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nacional to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 87:73

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo Basketball
Basketball South American League
30.11.24	Nacional - Defensor Sporting	76:58 ✺
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
12.11.24	Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo	80:78 ✺
07.11.24	Trouville Montevideo - Nacional	70:86 ✺
04.11.24	Nacional - Malvín	84:67 ✺
01.11.24	Nacional - Welcome	115:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- San Lorenzo de Almagro Basketball
Basketball South American League
30.11.24	Ciclista Olímpico - San Lorenzo de Almagro	65:78 ✺
Argentinian LNB
27.11.24	Obras Sanitarias - San Lorenzo de Almagro	78:62 ✺
17.11.24	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Boca Juniors	83:78 ✺
11.11.24	Instituto Córdoba - San Lorenzo de Almagro	94:65 ✺
09.11.24	Atenas - San Lorenzo de Almagro	84:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Basketball South American League
16.10.24	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Nacional	73:87

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo Basketball
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
02.05.26	Nacional - Defensor Sporting	✺

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Nacional - San Lorenzo de Almagro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide