Match Info

WORLD: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE AMERICAS

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Larre Borges (Montevideo)


	Nacional		São Paulo

	1	2
	3.4	1.29	Watch
	3.25	1.28
	3.25	1.27	Watch
	3.4	1.31
	3.4	1.3
	3.06	1.34
	3.25	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.51)	1.29 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
28.3%

São Paulo
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional's form might have worsened.

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Paulo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Nacional - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 50%). São Paulo will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:87

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Preview

Nacional is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches São Paulo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match São Paulo is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 316-372.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 146-187.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo Basketball
Champions League Americas Basketball
26.01.24	Nacional - Quimsa	78:86 ✺
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
22.01.24	Nacional - Cordón	86:61 ✺
18.01.24	Aguada - Nacional	105:111 OT ✺
15.01.24	Trouville Montevideo - Nacional	79:99 ✺
12.01.24	Nacional - Goes	111:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW
- São Paulo FC Basketball
Champions League Americas Basketball
27.01.24	Quimsa - São Paulo	84:87 ✺
Brazilian NBB
23.01.24	São Paulo - Paulistano	90:71 ✺
13.01.24	Basquete Cearense - São Paulo	75:81 ✺
11.01.24	Unifacisa - São Paulo	107:84 ✺
08.01.24	São Paulo - Franca	84:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Americas Basketball
17.12.23	São Paulo - Nacional	84:89 OT
13.03.22	São Paulo - Nacional	101:81
31.01.22	Nacional - São Paulo	73:89
11.12.21	Nacional - São Paulo	73:98

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