Match Info

B.League Premier

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Happiness Arena (Nagasaki)


	Nagasaki Velca		Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano

	1	2
	1.65	2.12
	1.65	2.10
	1.63	2.05
	1.7	2.17
	1.74	2.05	Watch
	1.67	2.12
	1.65	2.11
	1.67	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.48)	2.1 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagasaki Velca
55.7%

Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagasaki Velca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nagasaki Velca's form might have worsened.

Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano's recent form is better than expected.

Nagasaki Velca - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Aguilar P.	24. Daum M.
18. Baba Y.	6. Furukawa T. (C)
7. Brantley J.	00. Harris K.
11. Kumagai K.	14. Hoshino K.
20. Randolph L.	13. Lee M.
Substitutes
13. Hoshikawa K.	3. Donley E.
1. Matsumoto K. (C)	22. Kaishu T. M.
9. Morikawa M.	44. Kato D.
10. Nagano I.	15. Kawata T.
15. Platt S.	11. Oguri A.
14. Takahira K.	27. Tokairin S.
32. Tanaka L.	5. Tsuchiya D.
77. Tsuchiya A.
Coaches
. Vickerman D.	. Flavell J.

Preview

Nagasaki has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Nagasaki could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Nagasaki has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 165:143 (averaging 82.5:71.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nagasaki against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 165:143 goals (averaging 82.5:71.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Nagasaki Velca - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 61.99%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nagasaki Velca
Japan B League Premier
04.10.26	Kyoto Hannaryz - Nagasaki Velca	90:65 ✺
03.10.26	Kyoto Hannaryz - Nagasaki Velca	84:76 OT ✺
25.09.26	Nagasaki Velca - Shimane Susanoo Magic	78:85 ✺
23.09.26	Nagasaki Velca - Shimane Susanoo Magic	64:89 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.26	Kawasaki Brave Thunders - Nagasaki Velca	91:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano
Japan B League Premier
04.10.26	Yokohama B-Corsairs - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	84:89 ✺
03.10.26	Yokohama B-Corsairs - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	85:78 ✺
27.09.26	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Toyama Grouses	99:81 ✺
26.09.26	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Toyama Grouses	85:99 ✺
Japan B League One
17.05.26	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Yokohama Excellence	84:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
07.01.24	Nagasaki Velca - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	92:64
06.01.24	Nagasaki Velca - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	73:79

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