Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday


	Navarra		Ourense

	1	2
	2.35	1.5
	2.62	1.44
	2.65	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.14)	1.46 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navarra
36.6%

Ourense
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navarra's form might have worsened.

Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ourense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navarra than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navarra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ourense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Navarra - Ourense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:77

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Preview

1st leg.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Ourense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ourense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Navarra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 362-419.

Including matches at home between the teams Navarra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 169-155.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Navarra Club
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
07.05.22	Zornotza ST - Navarra	84:92 ✺
30.04.22	Navarra - Zornotza ST	74:67 ✺
24.04.22	Cartagena - Navarra	66:65 ✺
17.04.22	Navarra - Cartagena	79:76 ✺
10.04.22	Ponferrada - Navarra	69:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLWW
- Ourense Baloncesto
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
08.05.22	Ourense - Clavijo	74:71 ✺
01.05.22	Clavijo - Ourense	68:70 ✺
17.04.22	Mollet - Ourense	59:87 ✺
10.04.22	Aquimisa Carbajosa - Ourense	65:76 ✺
06.04.22	Ourense - Estela	70:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
23.10.21	Ourense - Navarra	85:70
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
11.03.16	Ourense - Navarra	90:74
27.11.15	Navarra - Ourense	89:79 OT (71:71)
17.04.15	Ourense - Navarra	89:49
28.12.14	Navarra - Ourense	80:76

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