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Current Win Probability
Newcastle Falcons 31.2%
Maitland Mustangs 68.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
68%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
62.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Maitland Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Falcons than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Falcons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maitland Mustangs than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maitland Mustangs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:83
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3.
Newcastle has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Maitland is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Maitland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Maitland has had a series of away games.
In this match, Maitland is considered a favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 552:593. (average 78.9:84.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 224:214. (average 74.7:71.3).
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