Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 5

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: Pavilhao Multiusos de Luanda (Luanda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
Sweden	DAZN


	Nigeria		Guinea

	1	2
	1.56	2.3	Watch
	1.55	2.35
	1.57	2.3	Watch
	1.35	2.93
	1.67	2.09	Watch
	1.33	2.9
	1.59	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.76)	2.44 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nigeria
61.5%

Guinea
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nigeria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nigeria's performance.

Guinea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guinea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Nigeria - Guinea Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nigeria will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Guinea will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Agada C. Forca Lleida	0. Boum S. Vienna Basket
1. Iroegbu I. Valencia	45. Doumbouya S. Koshigaya Alphas
25. Iwundu W.	23. Drame O. Dinamo Bucharest
17. Mekowulu C. Udine	3. Evans S. MoraBanc Andorra
10. Metu C. Gran Canaria	7. Sy A. Orchies
Substitutes
0. Akobundu-Ehiogu K. Manresa	66. Conde C. Challans
30. Dibal P.	11. Diallo A. AS Monaco
50. Eric M.	4. Diallo I.
9. Igbanu M. Niigata	1. Doumbia A. Tarbes
2. Iroegbu U. FUS Rabat	24. Fofana I. SLAC
5. Okoye S. MoraBanc Andorra	22. Kaba O. Tours
4. Utomi D. Dar City	13. Keita T. Chalons-Reims
Coaches
. Vanterpool D.	. Asceric N.

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nigeria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 206:198. (average 68.7:66).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nigeria basketball
World Championship Basketball
02.07.26	Tunisia - Nigeria	81:84 ✺
30.11.25	Nigeria - Rwanda	75:69 OT ✺
29.11.25	Guinea - Nigeria	69:55 ✺
27.11.25	Nigeria - Tunisia	78:88 OT ✺
AfroBasket
20.08.25	Nigeria - Senegal	75:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLL
- Guinea basketball
World Championship Basketball
02.07.26	Guinea - Rwanda	89:63 ✺
30.11.25	Guinea - Tunisia	66:57 ✺
29.11.25	Guinea - Nigeria	69:55 ✺
27.11.25	Rwanda - Guinea	70:82 ✺
AfroBasket
18.08.25	Guinea - Mali	67:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
29.11.25	Guinea - Nigeria	69:55
25.02.23	Guinea - Nigeria	59:62
27.08.22	Nigeria - Guinea	89:70

Nigeria - Guinea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide