Match Info

Date: 25 March 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Nizhny Novgorod		AEK Athens

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.41	2.9
	1.36	3
	1.4	3.1
	1.4	3.05
	1.37	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (2.2)	3.07 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nizhny Novgorod
69.1%

AEK Athens
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nizhny Novgorod's performance.

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Athens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (-27%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nizhny Novgorod that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+27%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Nizhny Novgorod - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Nizhny Novgorod will win (votes: 9 - 60%). AEK will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nizhny Novgorod: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:75

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

AEK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

AEK will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nizhny Novgorod won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 156-166.

Including matches at home between the teams Nizhny Novgorod won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 86-79.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Nizhny Novgorod
Champions League Basketball
23.03.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Türk Telekom BK	96:82 ✺
17.03.21	Türk Telekom BK - Nizhny Novgorod	71:84 ✺
VTB United League
14.03.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Minsk	78:57 ✺
Champions League Basketball
10.03.21	Strasbourg - Nizhny Novgorod	68:73 ✺
VTB United League
07.03.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Astana	75:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWW
- AEK Athens BC
Champions League Basketball
23.03.21	Strasbourg - AEK Athens	91:73 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
20.03.21	AEK Athens - Iraklis	100:97 OT (85:85) ✺
Champions League Basketball
16.03.21	AEK Athens - Strasbourg	77:68 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
13.03.21	PAOK - AEK Athens	85:87 OT (74:74) ✺
Champions League Basketball
10.03.21	AEK Athens - Türk Telekom BK	74:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Eurocup
01.12.15	Nizhny Novgorod - AEK Athens	86:79
28.10.15	AEK Athens - Nizhny Novgorod	87:70

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens BC
Greek Basket League A1
31.10.26	Vikos - AEK Athens	✺

Nizhny Novgorod - AEK Athens