Match Info

NBL1 Central

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Norwood Flames		Eastern Mavericks

	1	2
	2.20	1.61	Watch
	2.00	1.72
	1.98	1.73
	2.21	1.62
	2.02	1.64	Watch
	2.18	1.60
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	1.93	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.77)	1.66 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norwood Flames
44.3%

Eastern Mavericks
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norwood Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Norwood Flames's form might have worsened.

Eastern Mavericks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eastern Mavericks's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwood Flames than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern Mavericks than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Norwood Flames - Eastern Mavericks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:90

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwood won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Norwood has had a series of home games.

Eastern could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Norwood won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 992:873. (average 90.2:79.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Norwood won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 453:411. (average 90.6:82.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwood Flames
Australian NBL1 Central
28.06.26	Forestville Eagles - Norwood Flames	103:85 ✺
27.06.26	Norwood Flames - West Adelaide Bearcats	71:102 ✺
21.06.26	Norwood Flames - South Adelaide Panthers	89:79 ✺
13.06.26	Norwood Flames - Sturt Sabres	67:74 ✺
31.05.26	Norwood Flames - Southern Tigers	102:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLW
- Eastern Mavericks
Australian NBL1 Central
28.06.26	Sturt Sabres - Eastern Mavericks	115:79 ✺
27.06.26	Eastern Mavericks - Woodville Warriors	90:72 ✺
20.06.26	Eastern Mavericks - Central Districts Lions	75:82 ✺
13.06.26	West Adelaide Bearcats - Eastern Mavericks	103:81 ✺
31.05.26	Eastern Mavericks - North Adelaide Rockets	105:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 Central
18.04.26	Eastern Mavericks - Norwood Flames	68:81
11.07.25	Norwood Flames - Eastern Mavericks	70:96
27.04.25	Eastern Mavericks - Norwood Flames	80:83
29.06.24	Eastern Mavericks - Norwood Flames	74:84
20.04.24	Norwood Flames - Eastern Mavericks	79:82
18.06.23	Norwood Flames - Eastern Mavericks	112:86
23.04.23	Eastern Mavericks - Norwood Flames	70:95

Norwood Flames - Eastern Mavericks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide