Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - ROUND 3

Date: 11 October 2023, Wednesday

Location: Pavillón Multiusos Fontes do Sar (Santiago de Compostela)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Poland	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Obradoiro CAB		Basket Zaragoza

	1	2
	1.43	2.9	Watch
	1.48	2.65
	1.45	2.8	Watch
	1.46	2.84
	1.44	2.85	Watch
	1.48	2.73	Watch
	1.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.47)	2.77 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obradoiro CAB
65.5%

Basket Zaragoza
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obradoiro CAB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Basket Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obradoiro CAB than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Obradoiro CAB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basket Zaragoza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Obradoiro CAB - Basket Zaragoza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Obradoiro won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Obradoiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Obradoiro have a series of guest games.

Obradoiro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Obradoiro won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 1594-1672.

Including matches at home between the teams Obradoiro won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 822-760.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obradoiro CAB
Spanish ACB League
08.10.23	Valencia - Obradoiro CAB	85:79 ✺
04.10.23	Obradoiro CAB - Bilbao Basket	77:78 ✺
Champions League Basketball
30.09.23	Strasbourg - Obradoiro CAB	82:78 ✺
28.09.23	Legia Warsaw - Obradoiro CAB	66:74 ✺
26.09.23	Mornar Bar - Obradoiro CAB	56:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWW
- Basket Zaragoza
Spanish ACB League
07.10.23	Basquet Manresa - Basket Zaragoza	81:75 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
05.10.23	Jämtland Basket - Basket Zaragoza	65:81 ✺
03.10.23	Basket Zaragoza - Pardubice	94:88 ✺
Spanish ACB League
27.09.23	Basket Zaragoza - Unicaja Malaga	100:92 ✺
24.09.23	Real Madrid - Basket Zaragoza	101:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
11.03.23	Basket Zaragoza - Obradoiro CAB	78:79
29.09.22	Obradoiro CAB - Basket Zaragoza	76:73
13.04.22	Basket Zaragoza - Obradoiro CAB	80:73
20.11.21	Obradoiro CAB - Basket Zaragoza	87:82
06.02.21	Basket Zaragoza - Obradoiro CAB	83:70
20.12.20	Obradoiro CAB - Basket Zaragoza	102:91
29.09.19	Basket Zaragoza - Obradoiro CAB	96:64

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