Match Info
LPB - Round 9Date: 28 December 2025, SundayLocation: Pavilhão Dr. Salvador Machado (Oliveira de Azemeis)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Oliveirense |
|
Sporting Lisbon |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.68 |
|
1.38 |
 Watch |
 |
2.63 |
|
1.42 |
|
 |
2.7 |
|
1.4 |
|
 |
2.73 |
|
1.4 |
|
 |
2.85 |
|
1.38 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.23) |
|
1.4 ↓
(1.54) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 167.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Oliveirense
33.9% | Sporting Lisbon
66.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oliveirense's form might have worsened.Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oliveirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Oliveirense - Sporting Lisbon Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Oliveirense will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Sporting will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oliveirense: 79.4% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Oliveirense will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:87 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
6.  Barbosa J.
| 6. Amarante F.
|
3.  Boeheim J.
| 0. Johns Jr B.
|
22.  Mcintosh M.
| 24. Morgan M.
|
18. Sibert J.
| 7. Robinson C.
|
0. Timberlake E.
| 30.  Swenson S.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
29. Ayers L.
| 18.  Cherepenko D.
|
99. Bessa A. (C)
| 4. Correia M.
|
5. Dionisio F.
| 13.  Fernandes J.
|
46.  Embalo J.
| 3. Harden-Hayes M.
|
33. Fonseca M.
| 5. Palhares R.
|
32. Silva G.
| 1.  Razaque U.
|
14.  Suarez C.
| 9. Ventura D. (C)
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Figueiredo J.
| . Magalhaes L.
|
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 2.Oliveirense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Sporting has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Sporting is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.We predict that Oliveirense will win today's game, with odds of 2.63.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1353:1451. (average 75.2:80.6).Including home matches between the teams, Oliveirense won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 709:700. (average 78.8:77.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
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