Match Info

NBB

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ginásio Geodésico (Osasco) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Miranda S. (Bra)


	Osasco		Pato

	1	2
	1.65	2.12
	1.6	2.1
	1.61	2.33
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)	2.18 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasco
57.1%

Pato
42.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Pato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osasco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Osasco - Pato Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Osasco will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pato will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Carvalho E.	37. Batista G.
8. Dalaqua F.	24. de Souza M.
3. Harris A.	41. Fidelis J.
15. Passos H.	4. Nakazawa L.
29. Weber M.	71. Penteado D.
Substitutes
25. Breno	14. Carvalho N.
6. Caribaux B.	11. Edu Marilia
4. Leoni	3. Euler C.
31. Malachias G.	17. Gomes N.
19. Manaus	10. Mateus
18. Morais J.	79. Ribeiro G.
	34. Zonzini W.
Coaches
. Enio Vecchi	. Gitiony R.

Preview

Osasco is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pato has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Osasco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 67:82.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
10	Osasco	2	1	1	163:165	0.500
11	Pato	2	1	1	163:168	0.500

Outrights of Brazilian NBB for now

Osasco: 0.73% Pato: 0.73%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Osasco
Brazilian NBB
07.04.26	Corinthians Paulista - Osasco	111:96 ✺
03.04.26	Osasco - Unifacisa	65:101 ✺
22.03.26	Osasco - Minas	66:78 ✺
20.03.26	Flamengo - Osasco	101:71 ✺
17.03.26	Osasco - Basquete Cearense	90:89 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Pato Basquete
Brazilian NBB
09.04.26	Franca - Pato	100:64 ✺
06.04.26	Pato - Rio Claro	70:78 ✺
02.04.26	Pato - Brasília Basquete	58:67 ✺
24.03.26	Bauru - Pato	94:70 ✺
18.03.26	Pato - São José dos Campos	72:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
20.12.25	Pato - Osasco	82:67

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