Match Info

NBB

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Ginasio do Sesi (Pato Branco)


	Pato		Rio Claro

	1	2
	2.2	1.61
	2.15	1.62
	2.17	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.22	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.74)	1.61 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pato
42.3%

Rio Claro
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pato's form might have worsened.

Rio Claro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Claro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Claro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Pato - Rio Claro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pato will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Rio Claro will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Batista G.	19. Bonfim M.
24. de Souza M.	10. Gui Santos
41. Fidelis J.	13. Murilo
4. Nakazawa L.	35. Sacco G.
71. Penteado D.	8. Thygesen F.
Substitutes
14. Carvalho N.	7. Costa A.
3. Euler C.	2. dos Anjos J.
17. Gomes N.	6. Narcizio V.
2. Lenhart Siqueira L.	33. Owens D.
10. Mateus	9. Pastor
79. Ribeiro G.	4. Scott S.
34. Zonzini W.
Coaches
. Gitiony R.	. Silva R.

Preview

2 extra times played.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pato won 2.

Pato has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rio Claro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Pato has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 537:571. (average 76.7:81.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Pato won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 213:214. (average 71:71.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Pato - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.85%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pato Basquete
Brazilian NBB
02.04.26	Pato - Brasília Basquete	58:67 ✺
24.03.26	Bauru - Pato	94:70 ✺
18.03.26	Pato - São José dos Campos	72:81 ✺
13.03.26	Pato - Mogi	72:80 ✺
07.03.26	Pato - Corinthians Paulista	79:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Rio Claro Basquete
Brazilian NBB
02.04.26	Rio Claro - Corinthians Paulista	73:81 ✺
23.03.26	Rio Claro - São José dos Campos	76:82 ✺
20.03.26	Rio Claro - Mogi	77:83 ✺
17.03.26	Paulistano - Rio Claro	100:87 ✺
13.03.26	Basquete Cearense - Rio Claro	72:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
09.12.25	Rio Claro - Pato	101:109 OT
02.02.23	Rio Claro - Pato	100:93
31.10.22	Pato - Rio Claro	61:59
10.02.22	Rio Claro - Pato	79:65
13.11.21	Pato - Rio Claro	72:77
04.03.20	Rio Claro - Pato	77:57
20.12.19	Pato - Rio Claro	80:78

Pato - Rio Claro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide