Match Info

SPAIN: Primera FEB - Round 25

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Polideportivo de Pumarín Luis Riera Posada (Oviedo)


	Oviedo		Castelló

	1	2
	1.3	3.25
	1.33	3
	1.28	3.2	Watch
	1.24	3.88
	1.28	3.38	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.28	3.44
	1.28	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oviedo
72.2%

Castelló
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Castelló has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oviedo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelló than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Oviedo - Castelló Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Duscak D.	5. Maiza G.
55. Lobaco R.	13. Martinez A.
17. Marti M.	12. Menendez J.
2. Nweke I.	0. Ngom T.
11. Verplancken S.	11. Tate J.
Substitutes
6. Amarante F.	4. Adala A.
41. Cosialls R.	7. Arcos G.
22. Langarita L.	16. Etxeguren A.
5. Menuge L.	8. Faner J.
14. Sanz M.	14. Minlend C.
4. Valinotti J.	97. Okouo V.
	42. Stutz F.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Castelló could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Oviedo is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1432:1485 (average 75.4:78.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 733:680 (average 81.4:75.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oviedo CB
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
12.03.25	CB Lucentum Alicante - Oviedo	87:79 ✺
08.03.25	Oviedo - Obradoiro CAB	68:74 ✺
01.03.25	Palencia - Oviedo	90:78 ✺
16.02.25	Oviedo - Real Betis	68:78 ✺
12.02.25	Ourense - Oviedo	78:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLLW
- AB Castelló
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
11.03.25	Castelló - Estudiantes	85:89 ✺
08.03.25	Zamora - Castelló	96:87 ✺
02.03.25	Castelló - Cartagena	77:75 ✺
15.02.25	Estela - Castelló	96:76 ✺
11.02.25	Castelló - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	78:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
27.09.24	Castelló - Oviedo	90:68
24.03.24	Oviedo - Castelló	80:81
04.11.23	Castelló - Oviedo	83:61
13.05.23	Oviedo - Castelló	83:66
13.01.23	Castelló - Oviedo	75:71
18.02.22	Castelló - Oviedo	82:74
23.10.21	Oviedo - Castelló	70:85

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