Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Parnu Spordihall (Parnu)


	Pärnu		Ogre

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.75
	2.12	1.65
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.3	1.55
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.5)	1.64 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu
43.3%

Ogre
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pärnu's form might have worsened.

Ogre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ogre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pärnu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ogre than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ogre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pärnu - Ogre Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Pärnu (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pärnu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harris D.	14. Berzins K.
22. Hint A.	21. Dargais K. (C)
14. Ilves G.	9. Kampuss G.
11. Johansson D.	4. Nelson A.
10. Ogemuno-Johnson A.	10. Todjare J.
Substitutes
2. Aav S. (C)	37. Apsitis K.
20. Arvidsson J.	5. Avotins R.
16. Lootus K.	31. Poluiakhtov V.
24. Sonntak K.	7. Shundel A.
	25. Simsons A.
Coaches
. Evart K.	. Svede U.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pärnu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Pärnu won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1107:1215. (average 73.8:81).

Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 452:490. (average 75.3:81.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
10	BK Ogre	3	1	2	264:283	0.333
11	Parnu	3	1	2	224:227	0.333

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Pärnu
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
27.12.25	Pärnu - Keila	76:72 ✺
21.12.25	Keila Basket - Pärnu	64:81 ✺
17.12.25	Pärnu - BK Ventspils	73:82 ✺
13.12.25	VEF Riga - Pärnu	90:80 ✺
06.12.25	Keila - Pärnu	70:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLW
- BK Ogre
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
04.01.26	BK Ventspils - Ogre	83:85 ✺
20.12.25	Ogre - Valmiera Glass Via	90:77 ✺
13.12.25	Ogre - Tallinna Kalev	111:101 OT ✺
10.12.25	TalTech - Ogre	80:77 ✺
05.12.25	Ogre - Liepāja	76:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
18.10.25	Ogre - Pärnu	71:60
26.02.25	Pärnu - Ogre	57:92
17.11.24	Ogre - Pärnu	76:87
09.03.24	Pärnu - Ogre	73:82
20.12.23	Ogre - Pärnu	93:72
12.03.23	Ogre - Pärnu	81:68
15.10.22	Pärnu - Ogre	85:71

Pärnu - Ogre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide