Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Ogres 1. vidusskola (Ogre)


	Ogre		Tallinna Kalev

	1	2
	3.25	1.3
	3.34	1.27
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.21	1.3
	3.4	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.11)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ogre
28.5%

Tallinna Kalev
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ogre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Ogre - Tallinna Kalev Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ogre (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Avotins R.	13. Hermet K.
21. Dargais K. (C)	9. Kaukiainen S.
9. Kampuss G.	15. Miska A.
4. Nelson A.	1. Rosenthal M.
10. Todjare J.	10. Toom H.
Substitutes
37. Apsitis K.	5. Acuff T.
0. Lastins M.	22. Dorbek M. (C)
31. Poluiakhtov V.	7. Kasemets K.
7. Shundel A.	8. Kurbas T.
25. Simsons A.	11. Kuuba G.
33. Sipolins G.	0. Makke E.
Coaches
. Svede U.	. Mirolybov A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ogre won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kalev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kalev has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kalev is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ogre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1113:1364. (average 74.2:90.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ogre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 519:600. (average 74.1:85.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Ogre
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
10.12.25	TalTech - Ogre	80:77 ✺
05.12.25	Ogre - Liepāja	76:83 ✺
22.11.25	Tartu Rock - Ogre	65:59 ✺
19.11.25	Ogre - Viimsi	77:67 ✺
15.11.25	Latvijas Universitāte - Ogre	68:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWW
- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
06.12.25	Tallinna Kalev - BK Ventspils	92:99 OT ✺
22.11.25	VEF Riga - Tallinna Kalev	90:85 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
19.11.25	Tallinna Kalev - Trefl Sopot	101:83 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
15.11.25	Tallinna Kalev - Keila Basket	123:65 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
12.11.25	Tallinna Kalev - Neftçi	88:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
11.04.25	Tallinna Kalev - Ogre	92:69
20.01.25	Tallinna Kalev - Ogre	87:80
19.10.24	Ogre - Tallinna Kalev	69:95
13.01.24	Ogre - Tallinna Kalev	67:78
10.11.23	Tallinna Kalev - Ogre	106:51
01.04.23	Ogre - Tallinna Kalev	66:83
24.03.23	Tallinna Kalev - Ogre	76:70

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