Match Info

EUROPE: FIBA Europe Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: P.A.O.K. Sports Arena (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Stoica C. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 3


	PAOK		Fribourg Olympic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.1
	1.21	3.95	Watch
	1.22	4.09
			Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.26	3.55
	1.21	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.32)	3.73 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
75%

Fribourg Olympic
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Fribourg Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PAOK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fribourg Olympic than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fribourg Olympic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

PAOK - Fribourg Olympic Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Fribourg Olympic will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fribourg Olympic: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bartley F.	20. Cotture A.
34. Kreuser J.	23. Green X.
18. Persidis N.	99. Jurkovitz N. (C)
33. Reynolds S.	24. Kovac R.
9. Upson D.	2. Nottage E.
Substitutes
10. Forrester J.	12. Dell'acqua M.
1. Grandison J.	6. Kazadi J.
2. Henderson C.	13. Martin K.
13. Iatridis K. (C)	14. Sane C.
19. Katsivelis D.	3. Williams A.
23. Papadakis K.
20. Skouraliotis T.
Coaches
. Cancellieri M.	. Petit T.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 62-62.

Recent matches PAOK is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fribourg Olympic is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

PAOK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match PAOK is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fribourg Olympic to win the game is with odds 3.22.

Last 3 head-to-head matches PAOK won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 238:187 (average 79.3:62.3).

Including matches at home between the teams PAOK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 92:61

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK Thessaloniki BC
Greek Basket League A1
08.03.25	Promitheas Patras - PAOK	87:76 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
05.03.25	Fribourg Olympic - PAOK	62:62 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
01.03.25	PAOK - Aris	75:63 ✺
Greek Cup Basketball
14.02.25	PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus	75:94 ✺
13.02.25	PAOK - AEK Athens	84:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWLW
- Fribourg Olympic
FIBA Europe Cup
05.03.25	Fribourg Olympic - PAOK	62:62 ✺
Swiss SB League Basketball
01.03.25	Fribourg Olympic - Lions de Genève	95:58 ✺
26.02.25	Fribourg Olympic - Lugano Tigers	109:71 ✺
15.02.25	Lausanne - Fribourg Olympic	83:96 ✺
12.02.25	BBC Nyon - Fribourg Olympic	90:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIBA Europe Cup
05.03.25	Fribourg Olympic - PAOK	62:62
Champions League Basketball
30.01.19	Fribourg Olympic - PAOK	64:84
14.11.18	PAOK - Fribourg Olympic	92:61

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