Match Info

Date: 18 May 2022, Wednesday


	Pagrati		Kavala

	1	2
	2.35	1.5
	2.31	1.5
	2.5	1.49
	2.5	1.5
	2.63	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.03)	1.49 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pagrati
37.7%

Kavala
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pagrati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pagrati's form might have worsened.

Kavala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kavala's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pagrati than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pagrati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kavala than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kavala, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.6%	0%	34.4%

Pagrati - Kavala Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Pagrati will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). Kavala will win (votes: 11 - 34.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pagrati: 49.1% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:77

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Preview

2nd leg. Kavala leads series 1-0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Kavala will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pagrati won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 230-264.

Including matches at home between the teams Pagrati won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 67-80.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pagrati BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
14.05.22	Kavala - Pagrati	95:67 ✺
11.05.22	Kavala - Pagrati	89:96 OT (67:67) ✺
07.05.22	Pagrati - Eleftheroupoli Kavalas	75:86 ✺
20.04.22	Charilaos Trikoupis - Pagrati	80:65 ✺
16.04.22	Pagrati - Oiakas Napfliou	105:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLLW
- Kavala BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
14.05.22	Kavala - Pagrati	95:67 ✺
11.05.22	Kavala - Pagrati	89:96 OT (67:67) ✺
07.05.22	Panerythraikos - Kavala	73:66 ✺
20.04.22	Kavala - Agriniou	75:58 ✺
16.04.22	Karditsas - Kavala	74:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Elite League Basketball
14.05.22	Kavala - Pagrati	95:67
11.05.22	Kavala - Pagrati	89:96 OT (67:67)
05.02.22	Pagrati - Kavala	67:80

Pagrati - Kavala: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide