Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - ROUND 16

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Pabellon Municipal de Deportes (Palencia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Palencia		Bilbao Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.72
	2.2	1.68	Watch
	2.24	1.71
	2.24	1.69
	2.24	1.68	Watch
	2.19	1.68	Watch
	2.13	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.9)	1.7 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palencia
43.6%

Bilbao Basket
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Bilbao Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bilbao Basket than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bilbao Basket, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Palencia - Bilbao Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:81

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LEB Oro and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palencia won 2.

Palencia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bilbao Basket is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bilbao Basket could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Palencia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 655-704.

Including matches at home between the teams Palencia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 310-297.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palencia Baloncesto
Spanish ACB League
17.12.23	Palencia - Basket Zaragoza	80:88 ✺
12.12.23	Baskonia - Palencia	94:82 ✺
09.12.23	Granada - Palencia	109:85 ✺
03.12.23	Gran Canaria 2014 - Palencia	100:73 ✺
25.11.23	Palencia - Valencia	77:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bilbao Basket
Spanish ACB League
22.12.23	Bilbao Basket - Girona	80:74 ✺
16.12.23	Gran Canaria 2014 - Bilbao Basket	83:75 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
12.12.23	Porto - Bilbao Basket	72:75 ✺
Spanish ACB League
09.12.23	Bilbao Basket - CB Breogán	68:76 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
06.12.23	Bilbao Basket - BG Göttingen	75:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
26.08.23	Bilbao Basket - Palencia	70:66
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
22.05.19	Bilbao Basket - Palencia	79:61
19.05.19	Palencia - Bilbao Basket	61:57
17.05.19	Palencia - Bilbao Basket	81:87
12.05.19	Bilbao Basket - Palencia	77:86
10.05.19	Bilbao Basket - Palencia	93:73
31.03.19	Bilbao Basket - Palencia	88:59

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