Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - ROUND 27

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Pabellon Municipal de Deportes (Palencia)


	Palencia		Canarias

	1	2
			Watch
	2.9	1.42
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.01	1.42
	3.01	1.41
	3.05	1.4
	2.94	1.41	Watch
	2.9	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.85)	1.41 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palencia
32.2%

Canarias
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Canarias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canarias than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Palencia - Canarias Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Palencia will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Canarias will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palencia: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Hands J.	42. Doornekamp A.
5. Ortega C.	35. Guerra F.
18. Pasecniks A.	11. Guy K.
1. Pineiro I.	9. Huertas M.
6. Van Der Vuurst K.	15. Sastre J.
Substitutes
11. Barrientos M.	21. Abromaitis T.
8. Benite V.	23. Cook E.
33. Frankamp C.	12. Diop I.
15. Gonzalez C.	6. Fitipaldo B.
3. Haarms M.	10. Salin S.
9. Kamba M.	19. Shermadini G.
12. Ubal A.	00. Vicedo E.
Coaches
. Guil L.	. Vidorreta T.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LEB Oro and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Canarias could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Canarias is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Palencia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 71-92.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palencia Baloncesto
Spanish ACB League
24.03.24	Palencia - Real Madrid	78:86 ✺
17.03.24	Basket Zaragoza - Palencia	103:96 ✺
10.03.24	Palencia - BC Andorra	77:70 ✺
03.03.24	Valencia - Palencia	111:93 ✺
10.02.24	Palencia - Gran Canaria 2014	82:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWLW
- CB Canarias
Spanish ACB League
24.03.24	Canarias - Gran Canaria 2014	93:92 ✺
Champions League Basketball
19.03.24	Peristeri BC - Canarias	90:82 ✺
Spanish ACB League
16.03.24	BC Andorra - Canarias	66:79 ✺
Champions League Basketball
13.03.24	Canarias - Karşıyaka	88:79 ✺
Spanish ACB League
10.03.24	Real Madrid - Canarias	80:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
18.11.23	Canarias - Palencia	92:71

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