Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 17

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Palencia		Ourense

	1	2
	1.17	4.5	Watch
	1.13	4.65	Watch
	1.17	4.34	Watch
	1.15	4.5
	1.18	4.39
	1.16	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 (1.16)	4.48 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palencia
79.4%

Ourense
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Palencia - Ourense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Armus M.	35. Gill R.
6. Borg T.	22. Kalscheur G.
9. Kamba M.	28. Lisboa R.
13. Vrankic J.	24. McDonnel S.
2. Wintering A.	23. Saraiva D.
Substitutes
11. Barrientos M.	11. Fernandez M.
15. Gonzalez J.	12. Huguet S.
8. Jakovics I.	27. Iglesias M.
35. Munoz A.	9. Okanu K.
7. Oroz X.	3. Smith K.
31. Ugochukwu S.	10. Vazquez I.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palencia won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Palencia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Palencia is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palencia won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1573:1429. (average 78.7:71.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Palencia won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 925:812. (average 84.1:73.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Palencia	2	2	0	165:136	4
4	Ourense	2	2	0	181:157	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palencia Baloncesto
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
07.01.26	Palencia - Obradoiro CAB	79:73 ✺
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
04.01.26	Palencia - Obradoiro CAB	85:87 ✺
28.12.25	Palencia - Burgos	91:76 ✺
20.12.25	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Palencia	73:67 ✺
17.12.25	Fibwi Palma - Palencia	86:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- Ourense Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
10.01.26	Ourense - Obradoiro CAB	96:93 ✺
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
07.01.26	Logroño - Ourense	64:72 ✺
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
04.01.26	Estudiantes - Ourense	92:75 ✺
28.12.25	Oviedo - Ourense	75:73 ✺
20.12.25	Ourense - Gipuzkoa Basket	77:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
23.04.25	Ourense - Palencia	94:84
14.12.24	Palencia - Ourense	114:81
09.04.23	Palencia - Ourense	86:80
11.12.22	Ourense - Palencia	66:82
03.01.21	Palencia - Ourense	87:69
24.10.20	Ourense - Palencia	75:68
Club Friendly Basketball
26.09.20	Palencia - Ourense	82:58

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