Match Info

Elite League - Round 11

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Papagou		Megaridas

	1	2
	1.82	1.82
	1.9	1.83
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.96	1.65
	1.86	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.89)	1.79 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Papagou
48.6%

Megaridas
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Papagou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Megaridas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Papagou than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Megaridas than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Papagou - Megaridas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:84

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Papagou won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Megaridas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Papagou won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 481:497. (average 80.2:82.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Papagou won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 226:231. (average 75.3:77).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Papagou BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
03.12.25	Dafni - Papagou	95:85 ✺
22.11.25	Papagou - Psychiko	60:77 ✺
08.11.25	Papagou - Koroivos	69:67 ✺
25.10.25	Lavrio - Papagou	88:90 ✺
18.10.25	Peiramatiko Machites - Papagou	80:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWW
- NE Megaridas
Greek Elite League Basketball
29.11.25	Megaridas - Aigaleo	98:79 ✺
22.11.25	Proteas Voulas - Megaridas	103:96 OT ✺
17.11.25	Megaridas - Vikos	93:97 ✺
08.11.25	Aries Trikala - Megaridas	84:88 ✺
03.11.25	Megaridas - Chalkida	79:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Elite League Basketball
08.03.25	Megaridas - Papagou	84:88
23.11.24	Papagou - Megaridas	74:81
09.03.24	Papagou - Megaridas	73:76
02.12.23	Megaridas - Papagou	77:65
03.05.23	Megaridas - Papagou	105:102
28.01.23	Papagou - Megaridas	79:74

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