Match Info

NBB

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday

Location: Ginasio do Sesi (Pato Branco)

Referee: Moraes M. (Bra)


	Pato		Basquete Cearense

	1	2
	1.71	2	Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.82	2
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.71	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 (1.73)	2 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pato
53.6%

Basquete Cearense
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Basquete Cearense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pato than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basquete Cearense than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Pato - Basquete Cearense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pato will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Cearense will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cearense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 75.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. de Souza M.	77. Fernandes G.
11. Edu Marilia	10. Salsamendi F.
37. Batista G.	16. Popovic A.
77. Horton R.	3. Gohlke J.
5. Thompson T.	11. Dupree M.
Substitutes
13. Crews C.	21. Alberton R.
41. Fidelis J.	20. Amorim S.
17. Gomes N.	1. Costa A.
10. Mateus	5. da Silva B.
4. Nakazawa L.	0. Jeanzinho
71. Penteado D.
34. Zonzini W.
Coaches
. Gitiony R.	. Todorovic J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pato won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Cearense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Pato won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 883:908. (average 73.6:75.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 465:434. (average 77.5:72.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pato Basquete
Brazilian NBB
12.11.25	Pato - Unifacisa	62:77 ✺
09.11.25	Flamengo - Pato	101:63 ✺
07.11.25	Botafogo - Pato	82:75 ✺
04.11.25	Vasco da Gama - Pato	65:70 ✺
29.10.25	Pato - Cruzeiro	69:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Basquete Cearense
Brazilian NBB
09.11.25	Basquete Cearense - Mogi	76:80 ✺
05.11.25	Basquete Cearense - Corinthians Paulista	82:98 ✺
31.10.25	Unifacisa - Basquete Cearense	85:71 ✺
23.10.25	Flamengo - Basquete Cearense	102:73 ✺
20.10.25	Botafogo - Basquete Cearense	80:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
13.01.25	Basquete Cearense - Pato	80:76
22.10.24	Pato - Basquete Cearense	89:60
02.03.24	Basquete Cearense - Pato	90:69
29.11.23	Pato - Basquete Cearense	75:76
02.03.23	Pato - Basquete Cearense	82:87
21.11.22	Basquete Cearense - Pato	80:60
02.03.22	Basquete Cearense - Pato	78:84

Pato - Basquete Cearense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide