Match Info

NBB

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr (Sao Paulo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Donizete Pinheiro R. (Bra)


	Paulistano		Brasília Basquete

	1	2
	2.12	1.65
	2.1	1.6
	2.25	1.57
	2.15	1.7
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.07)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paulistano
42.1%

Brasília Basquete
57.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paulistano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Brasília Basquete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paulistano than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paulistano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasília Basquete than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brasília Basquete, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	0%	8.7%

Paulistano - Brasília Basquete Predictions

Users Predictions: Paulistano will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paulistano will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Braga G.	11. Cardoso B.
1. da Silva Brandao V.	7. Corvalan F.
44. Hunter K.	2. Crescenzi K.
10. Inacio L.	9. da Silva P.
23. Siewert L.	13. Paulichi R.
Substitutes
41. Demetrio L.	77. Beller
4. Guilherme L.	15. Carbonari R.
35. Neto S.	30. Daniel
14. Pereira J.	10. Santana L.
18. Pietro	14. Silva B.
8. Seixas H.
17. Tovar E.
Coaches
. Ferracciu D.	. Barbosa D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paulistano won 4.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Brasília Basquete may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Brasília Basquete has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paulistano won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1671:1496. (average 83.6:74.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Paulistano won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 864:751. (average 86.4:75.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
2	Brasilia	3	3	0	284:245	1.000
10	Paulistano	2	1	1	153:165	0.500

Outrights of Brazilian NBB for now

Brasilia: 2.82% Paulistano: 1.47%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paulistano Basketball
Brazilian NBB
15.01.26	Bauru - Paulistano	87:89 ✺
09.01.26	São José dos Campos - Paulistano	88:81 ✺
27.12.25	Paulistano - Mogi	81:66 ✺
23.12.25	Paulistano - Corinthians Paulista	86:81 ✺
18.12.25	Unifacisa - Paulistano	82:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWL
- Brasília Basquete
Brazilian NBB
16.01.26	Osasco - Brasília Basquete	64:96 ✺
12.01.26	Brasília Basquete - Caxias do Sul	77:65 ✺
09.01.26	Rio Claro - Brasília Basquete	60:78 ✺
29.12.25	Bauru - Brasília Basquete	66:71 ✺
27.12.25	Franca - Brasília Basquete	92:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
30.10.25	Brasília Basquete - Paulistano	71:54
17.04.25	Paulistano - Brasília Basquete	81:69
18.12.24	Brasília Basquete - Paulistano	87:102
31.03.24	Paulistano - Brasília Basquete	95:50
16.12.23	Brasília Basquete - Paulistano	69:91
13.04.23	Paulistano - Brasília Basquete	113:71
15.12.22	Brasília Basquete - Paulistano	72:82

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