Match Info

NBB

Date: 23 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Donizete Pinheiro R. (Bra)


	Paulistano		Corinthians Paulista

	1	2
	2	1.71	Watch
	1.96	1.7
	2.74	1.41	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	2	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.99)	1.67 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paulistano
44.2%

Corinthians Paulista
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paulistano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Corinthians Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paulistano than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Paulistano - Corinthians Paulista Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Paulistano will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Corinthians Paulista will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paulistano: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paulistano will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Braga G.	23. Caue L.
1. da Silva Brandao V.	15. Clark E.
44. Hunter K.	55. Elinho
11. Macedo	0. Thomas D.
23. Siewert L.	10. Victao
Substitutes
41. Demetrio L.	3. Cardoso L.
4. Guilherme L.	1. Faria T.
10. Inacio L.	17. Gabriel Novaes
35. Neto S.	14. Munford R.
14. Pereira J.	2. Nascimento A.
8. Seixas H.	8. Pereira K.
17. Tovar E.	11. Raymundo K.
Coaches
. Ferracciu D.	. Leite J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paulistano won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Corinthians Paulista may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Paulistano won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1140:1138. (average 76:75.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Paulistano won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 529:527. (average 75.6:75.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paulistano Basketball
Brazilian NBB
18.12.25	Unifacisa - Paulistano	82:70 ✺
15.12.25	Basquete Cearense - Paulistano	77:100 ✺
11.12.25	Paulistano - Vasco da Gama	65:69 ✺
06.12.25	Pato - Paulistano	67:59 ✺
04.12.25	Paulistano - Botafogo	101:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Corinthians Paulista Basketball
Brazilian NBB
21.12.25	Pinheiros - Corinthians Paulista	109:80 ✺
17.12.25	Osasco - Corinthians Paulista	80:81 ✺
15.12.25	Corinthians Paulista - Rio Claro	67:57 ✺
12.12.25	Corinthians Paulista - Brasília Basquete	79:66 ✺
10.12.25	Bauru - Corinthians Paulista	94:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
11.02.25	Corinthians Paulista - Paulistano	74:65
05.11.24	Paulistano - Corinthians Paulista	69:75
22.04.24	Paulistano - Corinthians Paulista	77:68
18.04.24	Corinthians Paulista - Paulistano	65:83
02.03.24	Paulistano - Corinthians Paulista	71:81
17.11.23	Corinthians Paulista - Paulistano	71:79
31.01.23	Paulistano - Corinthians Paulista	81:82

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