Match Info

EUROPE: ABA LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday

Location: Gradska sportska dvorana Pecara (Široki Brijeg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Pelister		Krka

	1	2
	3.4	1.25
	4.4	1.14
	4.65	1.12
	3	1.36
	4.5	1.16	Watch
	3.95	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (1.99)	1.21 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelister
23.2%

Krka
76.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelister has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pelister's form might have worsened.

Krka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Krka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelister than the current prediction. (+21.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pelister, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krka than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Krka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pelister - Krka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:86

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Preview

Pelister is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Krka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Krka will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Pelister
North Macedonian Super League Basketball
03.03.23	Pelister - Kumanovo	104:70 ✺
North Macedonian Cup Basketball
17.02.23	Feniks 2010 - Pelister	86:79 ✺
16.02.23	Pelister - Tikveš	79:70 ✺
North Macedonian Super League Basketball
11.02.23	Strumica - Pelister	77:101 ✺
05.02.23	Pelister - Akademija FMP	81:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWW
- KK Krka
Slovenian Liga Basketball
03.03.23	Krka - Zlatorog Laško	76:90 ✺
12.02.23	Krka - Zlatorog Laško	93:69 ✺
Slovenian Cup Basketball
08.02.23	Helios Suns Domžale - Krka	89:89 OT ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
04.02.23	Tajfun Šentjur - Krka	86:91 ✺
31.01.23	Polzela - Krka	73:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTWL

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