Match Info

NBL1 East

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Penrith Panthers		Hornsby Spiders

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.8
	2.23	1.6
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.09)	1.74 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penrith Panthers
46.8%

Hornsby Spiders
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Hornsby Spiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penrith Panthers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornsby Spiders than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hornsby Spiders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Penrith Panthers - Hornsby Spiders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:80

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Preview

Recent form of Penrith Panthers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hornsby Spiders is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Penrith Panthers has had a series of away games.

Recently, Hornsby Spiders has had a series of home games.

Hornsby Spiders might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Penrith Panthers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 238:248. (average 79.3:82.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Penrith Panthers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 160:160. (average 80:80).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penrith Panthers Basketball
Australian NBL1 East
03.05.26	Penrith Panthers - Sydney Comets	68:67 ✺
25.04.26	Canberra Gunners - Penrith Panthers	72:69 ✺
19.04.26	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Penrith Panthers	91:49 ✺
18.04.26	Sydney Comets - Penrith Panthers	95:56 ✺
11.04.26	Inner West Bulls - Penrith Panthers	90:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLLL
- Hornsby Spiders
Australian NBL1 East
02.05.26	Hornsby Spiders - Sydney Comets	69:92 ✺
25.04.26	Hornsby Spiders - Maitland Mustangs	75:88 ✺
19.04.26	Bankstown Bruins - Hornsby Spiders	115:104 ✺
11.04.26	Hornsby Spiders - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	64:98 ✺
28.03.26	Hornsby Spiders - Illawarra Hawks 2	80:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 East
14.06.25	Penrith Panthers - Hornsby Spiders	89:91
22.06.24	Hornsby Spiders - Penrith Panthers	88:78
06.05.23	Penrith Panthers - Hornsby Spiders	71:69

Penrith Panthers - Hornsby Spiders: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide